FanBoardHQ

Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan University · 2023 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#112
Efficiency
-21.2
129th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
6th
of 12
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Eastern Michigan went 6-7 and was ranked 112th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 103rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 129th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 131st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with a 137th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-3
Q4
6-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
95th
-5.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
133rd
full season
133rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
123rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs HowardMEACW 3323+7.1100%-22.6Q4
2@ MinnesotaBig Ten#74L 625-21.30%-20.6Q3
3vs MassachusettsFBS Independents#127W 1917+1.3100%-19.6Q4
4@ Jacksonville StateConference USA#62L 021-20.90%-23.1Q3
5@ Central MichiganMid-American#107L 2326-8.70%-14.0Q4
6vs Ball StateMid-American#116W 2410-3.3100%-3.6Q4
7vs Kent StateMid-American#133W 2814+12.0100%-17.0Q4
8@ Northern IllinoisMid-American#84L 1320-16.30%-13.2Q4
9vs Western MichiganMid-American#117L 2145-0.70%-38.8Q4
11@ ToledoMid-American#43L 2349-24.80%-43.0Q2
12vs AkronMid-American#132W 3027+4.5100%-24.7Q4
13@ BuffaloMid-American#124W 2411-7.0100%1.7Q4
Postseason
vs South AlabamaSun Belt#70L 1059-22.40%-37.3Q3

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Eastern Michigan, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-39.5-20.6-1.8-23-21-20-23-14-4-17-13-39-43-252Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 137th
SR 136thYPP 134thEPA 135th
RushingEff 131st
SR 130thYPP 129thEPA 128th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 124th
SR 113thYPP 123rdEPA 123rd
Rush defenseEff 112th
SR 119thYPP 118thEPA 106th
Dropback rate 50%Tempo -7.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 91st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 36%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 35%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 37%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 34.0Q1 · Allowed: 76.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 91.0Q2 · Allowed: 103.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 45.0Q3 · Allowed: 83.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 51.0Q4 · Allowed: 57.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledEastern MichiganOffenseDefense
Eastern Michigan Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 129th
-14.0
Field position: -1.5Finishing drives: -12.4
Field position -1.5Finishing drives -12.4= -14.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 114th · Finishing 130th

Defensive EffRanked 103rd
-5.0
Field position: -2.1Finishing drives: -2.9
Field position -2.1Finishing drives -2.9= -5.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 127th · Finishing 93rd

1.41 points per drive on offense, 1.77 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(180)47% / 53%38%4.4
Q2(226)52% / 48%42%5.0
Q3(163)50% / 50%33%4.7
Q4(195)50% / 50%30%4.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(136)10.535%4.8
2nd(129)8.941%6.0
3rd(108)9.321%2.9
4th(8)7.125%3.3
All (381)33%4.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(186)9.637%4.5
2nd(120)7.929%4.1
3rd(65)4.258%5.1
4th(12)2.167%2.3
All (383)39%4.4

Eastern Michigan, all games.